Cesena vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1998 |
CES
0 - 0
INT
17%
26%
58%
|
64 | 91 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
RAV
2 - 1
CES
63%
22%
14%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
CES
2 - 3
TRE
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
INT
1 - 0
CES
83%
13%
4%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
BRE
3 - 0
CES
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 2
GEN
28%
29%
44%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
REG
0 - 0
ASS
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASL
39%
30%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASS
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 2
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |