Cesena vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
24.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
NOV
1 - 2
CES
53%
30%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
CES
0 - 1
TAR
54%
28%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
ARZ
2 - 1
CES
45%
32%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
COM
0 - 0
CES
56%
27%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
CES
1 - 0
PAL
46%
30%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
ASS
2 - 0
FCC
56%
27%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1971 |
CAS
1 - 1
ASS
38%
29%
34%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
ASS
0 - 2
MOD
58%
27%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1971 |
ASS
1 - 0
LIV
53%
28%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
MAN
0 - 0
ASS
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |