Cesena vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
CES
2 - 1
PRG
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
BAR
1 - 0
CES
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
CES
3 - 1
PAD
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
GEN
1 - 2
CES
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
CES
1 - 0
MOD
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1969 |
ASS
0 - 0
COM
54%
27%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1969 |
MAN
1 - 0
ASS
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
ASS
2 - 0
BRE
29%
31%
41%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
ASS
1 - 1
REG
41%
30%
29%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |