Cesena vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
19.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
PRG
0 - 0
CES
42%
35%
23%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1973 |
CES
2 - 0
TAR
61%
25%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
REG
0 - 0
CES
33%
37%
30%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
CES
0 - 0
CAT
54%
28%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
ASS
0 - 0
CES
41%
34%
25%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 0
ARZ
55%
28%
17%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1973 |
USF
0 - 2
MAN
66%
23%
11%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 1
LEC
64%
24%
11%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
REG
0 - 0
MAN
60%
26%
14%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
MAN
2 - 0
FCC
45%
32%
23%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |