Cesena vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
SPA
3 - 2
CES
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
CES
2 - 1
LEC
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
LIV
1 - 0
CES
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
CES
1 - 1
TER
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
USF
1 - 1
CES
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
MAN
2 - 0
PAD
52%
29%
19%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
MAN
0 - 0
BAR
39%
31%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
GEN
2 - 0
MAN
52%
29%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1968 |
MAN
1 - 2
BRE
31%
31%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
MOD
1 - 0
MAN
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |