Cesena vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
BRE
3 - 2
CES
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
CES
1 - 1
SPE
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
CES
1 - 0
COM
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
REG
0 - 1
CES
29%
30%
41%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
CES
0 - 0
ALV
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
ACL
1 - 1
LIV
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
USA
0 - 2
ACL
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
ACL
2 - 2
ABN
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 0
ACL
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
ACL
2 - 1
CAR
49%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |