Cesena vs AC Chioggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
RAV
0 - 0
CES
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
CES
2 - 2
PIA
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 1
CES
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
CES
1 - 0
AVE
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
FRO
5 - 2
CES
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |