Cesena vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
13%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
PES
1 - 1
CES
52%
28%
20%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
CES
2 - 0
CAT
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
CES
2 - 0
FCC
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
ASC
1 - 0
CES
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
EMP
2 - 2
CES
49%
30%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
ARZ
2 - 1
LAZ
43%
32%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
ARZ
0 - 0
PES
47%
30%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
CAT
1 - 0
ARZ
54%
27%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
ARZ
0 - 0
TRI
41%
31%
27%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PRG
46%
32%
23%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |