AC Castellana vs Inveruno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Castellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 1
ACC
46%
26%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ACC
0 - 2
MAP
45%
25%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CIS
3 - 3
ACC
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ACC
2 - 2
PER
47%
26%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACC
2 - 0
PIA
11%
19%
71%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Inveruno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
INV
1 - 1
VIR
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
LEC
0 - 4
INV
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
INV
4 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ACM
0 - 2
INV
20%
21%
60%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
LEG
3 - 2
INV
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -2 |