AC Castellana vs Aurora Seriate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Castellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 0
ACC
62%
23%
15%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ACC
1 - 3
LEC
23%
25%
52%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 0
ACC
57%
23%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ACC
1 - 0
ACM
64%
21%
15%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SON
2 - 1
ACC
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aurora Seriate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 6
VIR
36%
27%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 1
AUR
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 0
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 2
AUR
24%
25%
51%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
AUR
0 - 1
SON
57%
22%
21%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |