AC Castellana vs AC Montichiari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Castellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SON
2 - 1
ACC
42%
24%
35%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ACC
0 - 2
INV
19%
21%
59%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 1
ACC
46%
26%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ACC
0 - 2
MAP
45%
25%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CIS
3 - 3
ACC
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AC Montichiari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 2
VIR
23%
24%
53%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LEC
3 - 2
ACM
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 3
CAR
24%
25%
52%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SON
2 - 0
ACM
49%
22%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ACM
0 - 2
INV
20%
21%
60%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |