FC Carpenedolo vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
22%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
64.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carpenedolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
LEC
1 - 1
FSD
51%
27%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
FSD
3 - 1
FCS
40%
27%
33%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
VAL
0 - 0
FSD
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
FSD
1 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
BV5
0 - 1
FSD
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
SIE
0 - 0
LIV
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
INT
1 - 1
SIE
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
SIE
0 - 3
JUV
13%
23%
64%
|
77 | 93 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 1
SIE
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
EMP
2 - 1
SIE
45%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |