FC Carpenedolo vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Carpenedolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
LEO
0 - 1
FSD
73%
18%
10%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
FSD
1 - 0
UNI
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
JES
0 - 1
FSD
39%
25%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
BIE
0 - 0
FSD
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
FSD
1 - 1
OLB
47%
24%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
CAS
0 - 0
BIE
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
OLB
2 - 2
CAS
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
CAS
1 - 1
VAL
76%
16%
9%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
UNI
3 - 0
CAS
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
CAS
0 - 1
FCS
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |