AC Bellinzona vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
BEL
0 - 2
GCZ
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
BEL
0 - 0
FCA
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
BAS
1 - 1
BEL
67%
18%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 0
BAS
46%
25%
30%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1986 |
FCA
0 - 0
BEL
70%
17%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
ZUR
1 - 0
LOC
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
STG
2 - 1
ZUR
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
ZUR
3 - 0
VEV
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
ZUR
2 - 2
FCL
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
VEV
1 - 1
ZUR
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |