AC Bellinzona vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
41.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 1
BAV
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
BEL
40%
24%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 0
BEL
46%
23%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 1
YVE
48%
24%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
BEL
4 - 0
YFJ
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 1
SCH
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
WIN
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 3
WIN
4%
10%
86%
|
55 | 9 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
WIN
1 - 1
KRI
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
RAP
0 - 4
WIN
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |