AC Bellinzona vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
WOH
0 - 1
BEL
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
GUM
1 - 3
BEL
10%
16%
74%
|
63 | 17 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 0
KRI
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
BEL
5 - 2
BIE
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SCB
1 - 4
BEL
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 4
WIL
36%
26%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 1
WIN
21%
21%
58%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 2
LUG
27%
25%
49%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ETO
0 - 2
WIN
29%
24%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 2
WOH
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |