AC Bellinzona vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 0
LOC
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
LAU
1 - 2
BEL
27%
25%
48%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
BEL
0 - 0
NEX
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 1
BEL
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2008 |
BEL
3 - 0
WIL
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
SER
1 - 1
WIN
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2008 |
WIN
1 - 2
WIL
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2008 |
SCH
1 - 0
WIN
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CHA
0 - 0
WIN
21%
23%
55%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
LAU
1 - 3
WIN
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |