AC Bellinzona vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
BEL
2 - 0
MEY
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
LUG
2 - 0
BEL
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
FCL
1 - 0
BEL
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
BEL
0 - 2
LAC
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
CON
2 - 1
BEL
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
CON
2 - 1
WIN
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
WIN
2 - 3
WIL
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
WIN
6 - 0
KRI
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
WOH
0 - 4
WIN
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
BAU
1 - 3
WIN
44%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |