AC Bellinzona vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
BEL
0 - 2
MAL
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
MAL
4 - 1
BEL
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
YVE
2 - 2
BEL
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCV
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
BEL
1 - 2
YVE
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 1
WIN
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
KRI
1 - 2
WIN
57%
22%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
WIN
0 - 2
CHI
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
WIN
0 - 0
SCH
42%
24%
33%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
SCH
1 - 0
WIN
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |