AC Bellinzona vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1977 |
BEL
0 - 0
LAU
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1977 |
CSC
6 - 2
BEL
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
BEL
1 - 2
STG
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1977 |
BEL
1 - 3
SIO
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1977 |
WIN
3 - 1
BEL
51%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1977 |
WIN
2 - 1
STG
34%
27%
39%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1977 |
WIN
1 - 2
LAU
32%
27%
40%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
SIO
1 - 0
WIN
77%
16%
8%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1977 |
CSC
4 - 0
WIN
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1977 |
WIN
3 - 1
BEL
51%
24%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |