AC Bellinzona vs Winterthur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
BEL
2 - 1
SIO
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
STG
4 - 0
BEL
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
BEL
0 - 4
SER
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
YOB
5 - 0
BEL
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
LAU
5 - 0
BEL
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Winterthur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
WIN
2 - 3
BAS
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
SIO
2 - 0
WIN
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
WIN
1 - 2
LAU
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1976 |
WIN
2 - 2
CSC
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
SER
2 - 0
WIN
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |