AC Bellinzona vs Winterthur II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
BEL
4 - 0
FCW
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
RSZ
1 - 0
BEL
12%
20%
69%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 0
ESC
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 2
SEE
83%
12%
5%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 2
ZUR
21%
21%
58%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -3 |
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 2
STG
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 0
WIN
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 3
FCG
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MEN
2 - 2
WIN
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
WIN
3 - 1
LOC
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |