AC Bellinzona vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 1
LUG
53%
24%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
BIE
1 - 2
BEL
37%
26%
38%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
BEL
5 - 0
WOH
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
DEL
1 - 3
BEL
20%
24%
57%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
FCV
0 - 0
BEL
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 3
WOH
58%
23%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
LUG
3 - 1
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 1
LUG
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
LOC
2 - 1
WIL
33%
26%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
WIL
3 - 0
SCB
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |