AC Bellinzona vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
66.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
9º
49
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
NEX
3 - 0
BEL
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 2
WIL
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 1
BEL
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCA
14%
20%
66%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
YVE
1 - 2
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
THU
3 - 3
LAU
43%
26%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
YVE
1 - 0
THU
36%
25%
38%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
THU
3 - 3
FCV
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
THU
14%
20%
66%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
STA
2 - 2
THU
28%
24%
48%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |