Super League Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 2-3
AC Bellinzona vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 0
GCZ
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
THU
3 - 1
BEL
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
NEX
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 3
STG
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 0
BEL
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2011 |
YVE
0 - 2
SER
14%
23%
63%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
SER
3 - 0
CHI
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LOC
3 - 2
SER
20%
25%
55%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 6
SER
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SER
3 - 0
WOH
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |