AC Bellinzona vs Schaffhausen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
40.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
10º
7º
16
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 70 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 51 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 43 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 35 |
9º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 31 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94% | 36.5% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 63.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KRI
1 - 2
BEL
21%
21%
58%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
NEX
2 - 2
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 1
ETO
31%
27%
43%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
BEL
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 1
WIL
28%
25%
46%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Schaffhausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TUG
0 - 2
SCH
17%
19%
64%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCV
31%
25%
45%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
STA
0 - 3
SCH
45%
25%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
SCH
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 3
ETO
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |