AC Bellinzona vs Sarnen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
IBA
2 - 5
BEL
7%
19%
74%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
4 - 1
HER
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 24 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
HOC
2 - 3
BEL
10%
19%
71%
|
64 | 20 | 44 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 0
KUS
84%
11%
4%
|
63 | 17 | 46 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
TEA
84%
12%
5%
|
63 | 27 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
3 - 0
WIL
55%
20%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ASC
2 - 0
SAR
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 2
ESC
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 2
IBA
28%
25%
47%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TAV
1 - 2
SAR
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |