1. Liga Classic Final
Global 8-5
AC Bellinzona vs Red Star Zürich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
10%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
RSZ
4 - 3
BEL
15%
19%
67%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 0
BLA
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 2
BEL
32%
23%
45%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
FCW
1 - 4
BEL
13%
19%
69%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
BEL
3 - 0
TUG
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star Zürich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
RSZ
4 - 3
BEL
15%
19%
67%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
YOU
0 - 4
RSZ
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
RSZ
3 - 4
YOU
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
MEN
1 - 1
RSZ
38%
26%
36%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
RSZ
0 - 0
KOS
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |