AC Bellinzona vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
9º
8º
49
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
3 - 1
BAD
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BRE
4 - 0
BEL
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 0
BEL
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
SIO
14%
21%
65%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
ZUR
8%
15%
77%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCV
24%
23%
53%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 2
NEX
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
BAD
0 - 4
NEX
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
NEX
2 - 2
WIL
29%
25%
47%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 0
NEX
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |