AC Bellinzona vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
9º
24
10º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FCV
2 - 1
BEL
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
STA
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 0
BEL
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 1
BEL
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 2
SCH
24%
24%
52%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 2
YVE
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
NEX
0 - 0
FCA
20%
22%
58%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 2
NEX
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
WIL
3 - 2
NEX
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
NEX
2 - 3
LAU
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |