AC Bellinzona vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
BEL
0 - 3
ZUR
28%
28%
45%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
WIN
2 - 0
BEL
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
SIO
2 - 1
BEL
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
BEL
0 - 1
STG
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
SER
10 - 0
BEL
66%
21%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1976 |
NEX
2 - 2
YOB
46%
22%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
NEX
0 - 0
SIO
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
STG
2 - 0
NEX
56%
21%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
NEX
1 - 1
SER
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
ZUR
6 - 1
NEX
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |