AC Bellinzona vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
43%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
BAS
4 - 0
BEL
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 1
SIO
31%
26%
44%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
NEX
2 - 0
BEL
64%
20%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 4
ZUR
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
YOB
2 - 1
BEL
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
FCL
4 - 0
FCA
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
FCL
4 - 1
ZUR
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
5 - 0
FCL
73%
16%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
FCL
1 - 1
SIO
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
STG
3 - 1
FCL
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |