AC Bellinzona vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.2%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
40.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1989 |
LUG
2 - 0
BEL
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
BEL
0 - 2
FCW
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
LAU
5 - 1
BEL
64%
20%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 1
STG
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
BEL
0 - 0
NEX
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1989 |
FCL
0 - 2
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
YOB
5 - 3
FCL
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1989 |
PSV
3 - 0
FCL
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
FCL
3 - 0
FCA
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
FCL
4 - 2
GCZ
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |