AC Bellinzona vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
BEL
0 - 1
CHI
30%
24%
46%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
BAU
1 - 0
BEL
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 0
YVE
39%
27%
34%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
KRI
2 - 3
BEL
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 1
WIN
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
LUG
0 - 4
BAS
12%
18%
70%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
LUG
1 - 2
LAC
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
LUG
1 - 1
WOH
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
BAU
2 - 1
LUG
26%
26%
47%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
LUG
1 - 1
YVE
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |