AC Bellinzona vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
BEL
5 - 1
MEY
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
YVE
3 - 0
BEL
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BEL
3 - 2
FCL
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
CON
2 - 1
BEL
59%
22%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
BEL
2 - 1
SIO
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
BAD
0 - 1
LUG
16%
23%
61%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
LUG
5 - 1
BAU
83%
13%
4%
|
74 | 37 | 37 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
KRI
1 - 1
LUG
19%
24%
58%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
LUG
3 - 1
LAC
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
WIN
0 - 1
LUG
16%
22%
62%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | -1 |