AC Bellinzona vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
ZUR
4 - 0
BEL
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
BEL
2 - 0
SIO
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
BEL
0 - 4
LAU
28%
24%
49%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
SIO
1 - 0
BEL
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
BEL
1 - 2
KRI
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
LUG
2 - 1
THU
62%
21%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
DEL
0 - 3
LUG
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
NEX
1 - 4
LUG
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +3 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 2
DEL
63%
20%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
FCA
0 - 2
LUG
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |