AC Bellinzona vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 0
BEL
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
BEL
1 - 4
YVE
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
BEL
2 - 1
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
LOC
1 - 0
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
BEL
1 - 3
BAD
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1992 |
YVE
2 - 2
LUG
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 0
LOC
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
BAS
2 - 2
LUG
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCM
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 1992 |
BAD
0 - 2
LUG
27%
29%
44%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |