AC Bellinzona vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
BEL
27%
27%
45%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
WOH
0 - 1
BEL
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 0
BIE
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
WOH
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
CHI
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
LOC
3 - 0
LUG
29%
25%
47%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LOC
2 - 3
BAS
8%
16%
76%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BIE
1 - 1
LOC
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 3
LUG
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
LOC
0 - 1
FCV
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |