AC Bellinzona vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2006 |
NEX
3 - 0
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2006 |
BEL
2 - 1
CHI
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
BEL
0 - 0
FCV
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
WIN
4 - 0
BEL
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 2
SIO
32%
27%
42%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
LOC
0 - 3
LAC
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
LUG
2 - 0
LOC
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
LOC
3 - 1
WIL
32%
26%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
LOC
1 - 1
BAU
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
KRI
0 - 2
LOC
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |