AC Bellinzona vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1992 |
BAS
2 - 1
BEL
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1992 |
YVE
2 - 1
BEL
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCA
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1992 |
LUG
2 - 1
BEL
66%
20%
13%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
BEL
0 - 0
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1992 |
LOC
1 - 2
LUG
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1992 |
LOC
6 - 0
FCM
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
BAS
2 - 2
LOC
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1992 |
LOC
0 - 0
BAD
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
BAD
1 - 1
LOC
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |