Europa League Fase Final 1/32
Global 4-6
AC Bellinzona vs Galatasaray SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 2
YOB
24%
24%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2008 |
ZUR
3 - 0
BEL
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
BEL
2 - 1
DNI
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
FCV
0 - 0
BEL
45%
25%
30%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
DNI
3 - 2
BEL
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Galatasaray SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
GAL
1 - 1
ANT
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
KAY
0 - 0
GAL
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
STB
1 - 0
GAL
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
GAL
4 - 1
DEN
73%
17%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
GAL
2 - 1
KAY
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |