AC Bellinzona vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
BEL
1 - 2
YVE
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
FCV
3 - 1
BEL
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
FCL
3 - 1
BEL
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
BEL
3 - 2
FCL
32%
24%
44%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
BEL
0 - 2
LAC
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
CON
1 - 3
FCV
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
FCV
3 - 1
BEL
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
DNI
1 - 0
FCV
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
FCV
0 - 0
CHI
75%
16%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 0
FCV
23%
24%
54%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |