AC Bellinzona vs FC Thalwil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
SEU
0 - 2
BEL
11%
17%
72%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
BEL
2 - 1
FCB
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
WIN
3 - 1
BEL
11%
17%
72%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
BEL
3 - 3
RSZ
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SEE
1 - 4
BEL
10%
18%
72%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Thalwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
FCT
1 - 4
STG
34%
24%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ESC
0 - 1
FCT
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
FCT
3 - 1
FCG
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MEN
1 - 1
FCT
52%
25%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FCT
3 - 1
LOC
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |