AC Bellinzona vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
9º
8º
43
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 1
BEL
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 2
STA
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SIO
3 - 0
BEL
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCV
26%
25%
50%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 0
WIL
27%
25%
47%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 2
FCD
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
BAD
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 1
FCA
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
NEX
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
WIL
1 - 1
FCA
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |