AC Bellinzona vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
9º
8º
43
3º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 0
BEL
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BAD
1 - 1
BEL
48%
23%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 2
WIL
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
LUG
3 - 2
BEL
77%
16%
8%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
THU
2 - 0
BEL
66%
19%
16%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 3
NEX
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 0
FCA
33%
26%
42%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 0
BAD
69%
19%
13%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
ALT
1 - 0
FCA
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
WIN
2 - 0
FCA
39%
23%
39%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |