AC Bellinzona vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
9º
57
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
YVE
1 - 2
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 6
FCV
20%
24%
57%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 0
LAU
16%
24%
60%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
THU
2 - 0
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
FCL
5 - 0
BEL
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 2
NEX
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
THU
2 - 3
FCA
44%
24%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
STA
3 - 4
FCA
36%
24%
40%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 2
FCV
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 3
FCA
40%
24%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |