AC Bellinzona vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2010 |
STG
1 - 2
BEL
64%
22%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2010 |
BEL
0 - 0
FCL
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
BAS
4 - 0
BEL
81%
13%
6%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
BEL
2 - 1
SIO
31%
26%
44%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
NEX
2 - 0
BEL
64%
20%
15%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 4
GCZ
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
FCA
0 - 3
BAS
13%
20%
67%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
FCL
4 - 0
FCA
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
FCA
2 - 0
STG
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCA
73%
18%
10%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +1 |