AC Bellinzona vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1992 |
LUG
2 - 1
BEL
66%
20%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
BEL
0 - 0
LUG
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 0
BEL
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1992 |
BEL
1 - 4
YVE
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1992 |
BEL
2 - 1
BAS
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 3
YVE
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
YVE
1 - 1
FCA
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 0
BEL
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
FCA
0 - 0
BAD
72%
19%
10%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
FCM
1 - 1
FCA
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |