AC Bellinzona vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
28.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
YOB
2 - 3
BEL
72%
16%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 3
FCL
31%
29%
41%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1989 |
LUG
2 - 0
BEL
63%
21%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
BEL
0 - 2
FCW
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
LAU
5 - 1
BEL
64%
20%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
FCA
1 - 2
STG
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1989 |
LAU
0 - 0
FCA
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
FCW
1 - 0
FCA
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1989 |
FCA
0 - 3
LUG
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
FCL
3 - 0
FCA
59%
24%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |