AC Bellinzona vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
STG
2 - 0
BEL
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
GCZ
2 - 2
BEL
69%
19%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
BEL
3 - 0
YOB
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
SIO
0 - 2
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
FCL
2 - 1
BEL
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
FCA
4 - 1
SIO
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
YOB
4 - 0
FCA
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
STG
2 - 2
FCA
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
FCA
1 - 2
GCZ
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
SER
1 - 0
FCA
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |